decision making in the face of uncertainty theme

Someone must decide, in a given situation that involves significant uncertainty, which among various courses of action is the better.

16 total · 2 choice · 5 major · 9 minor

StoryLevelMotivation
ds96x09 choice genetically-engineered mental patients make detailed projections about the future of war with the Dominion and trusted them completely but Benjamin was not so confident in their projections
voy2x03 choice The Doctor about who and what to trust
movie: Hamlet (1948) major Much of Hamlet's troubles were due to the fact that he strongly suspected murder (on the word of a ghost) yet had no evidence. To this point, the film opened with a voice-over from the producer, saying "This is the tragedy of a man who could not make up his mind".
movie: Mars Attacks (1996) major Mixed messages from the Martians (i.e. they insisted that the came in peace but committed a massacre and made other attacks) left the President struggling over whether to continue engage peacefully with the Martians or to launch a counter attack.
play: Hamlet (1602) major much of Hamlet's troubles were due to the fact that he strongly suspected murder (on the word of a ghost) yet had no evidence
sherlock1x01 major Sherlock Holmes about the 50/50 chance of choosing good pill.
tng5x05 major separate saucer section and leave or not
movie: Armageddon (1998) minor Should the president give the order to detonate the nuclear warhead or should he let the oil well driller do their job even after radio contact was lost?
movie: Jimmy Neutron: Boy Genius (2001) minor Should Jimmy and his pals fly to the planet Yolkus in an effort to rescue their parents even though there was a 5% chance they would blow up on the way? After some deliberation on the matter, they decided to take their chances and attempt the rescue.
movie: Shin Godzilla (2016) minor A highly indecisive Prime Minister Okochi was forced into making a number of difficult decisions in the face of Godzilla's attack on Tokyo. For example, should parts of Tokyo be evacuated at the risk of causing a mass panic in the streets? Or should a military attack on Godzilla be called at the risk of civilian casualties?